DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1024 AM CST THU NOV 12 2015 VALID 121630Z - 131200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...SYNOPSIS... A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT WILL MOVE GENERALLY EWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND. SHALLOW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE UPPER OH VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...BUT CLOUD DEPTH WILL REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR CHARGE SEPARATION. THE COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWWD TO THE NE GULF COAST AND WILL SOON CLEAR FAR S TX. THE TROPICAL WARM SECTOR REMAINS S OF THE FRONT ACROSS S FL. THOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/BUOYANCY ARE SUFFICIENT FOR DEEP CONVECTION...DRY PROFILES AND POOR LAPSE RATES ALOFT...IN COMBINATION WITH ONLY SHALLOW/WEAK SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS...SUGGEST THAT THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY. ..THOMPSON/PICCA.. 11/12/2015Read more
from SPC Forecast Products http://ift.tt/wWCv9s
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