Monday, April 11, 2016

SPC Apr 11, 2016 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Outlook Image
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER 48 ON WEDNESDAY.

...SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION...
A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM TX EWD ACROSS THE
LOWER MS VALLEY AND CNTRL GULF COAST REGION ON WED WITH SFC BOUNDARY
NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE. GIVEN THE ZONAL NATURE OF THE UPPER
FLOW...ANY WARM ADVECTION ATOP THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BE WEAK. STORMS
MAY BE ONGOING ACROSS THE UPPER TX COASTAL REGION...WHICH WILL
SPREAD EWD DURING THE DAY WITH OTHER AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS
AFFECTING THE REMAINING GULF COASTAL AREAS. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
CLOUDS AS WELL AS RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LIMIT
INSTABILITY WITH ONLY WEAK STORMS EXPECTED.

TO THE W...A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE PACIFIC NW WITH A
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE COAST AROUND 00Z. DESPITE THE
STRONG WIND FIELDS...INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL. ANY
CONVECTION THAT DOES DEVELOP COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS.

..JEWELL.. 04/11/2016

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