Mesoscale Discussion 0165
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0212 AM CST Thu Feb 09 2017
Areas affected...Southeast Georgia into eastern South Carolina and
southeast North Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 090812Z - 091015Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated strong storms are likely this morning across
southeast Georgia, South Carolina and eventually southeast North
Carolina with a threat of marginal wind or hail.
DISCUSSION...A fast-moving line of storms currently extends from
central SC into southeast GA along a cold front with a deepening
surface trough. Wind profiles as seen on VWPs are extremely strong,
with long, straight hodographs. Surface analysis shows lower 60s
dewpoints ahead of this line, which will continue to support a few
strong updrafts. However, the very strong deep-layer shear is
currently resulting in highly tilted storms structures. Given the
very strong mean wind speeds, it is possible that some of the storms
could pose a damaging wind threat before exiting land. Small hail is
also possible, with any severe hail being marginal and very
isolated.
..Jewell/Guyer.. 02/09/2017
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...
LAT...LON 32158251 32638197 33268111 34038007 34457932 34797850
35017773 34937714 34587685 33827797 33367879 32408002
31938078 31758143 31858209 32158251
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