Friday, March 31, 2017

SPC Apr 1, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0751 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2017

Valid 010100Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS VICINITY...

...SUMMARY...
A storm or two lingering onshore over the next 1-2 hours may be
capable of producing marginally severe hail/wind across parts of the
North Carolina coastal plain.  Elevated showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also expected to develop over the central high
Plains vicinity later this evening/overnight, where marginal hail
risk may evolve with a few of the strongest cells.

...North Carolina coastal plain...
While isolated/supercell storms responsible for earlier severe
weather across southeast Virginia and adjacent northeast North
Carolina have moved offshore, a lingering frontal band of convection
continues moving across the coastal plain of northeast North
Carolina.  While storms will continue to weaken/move offshore over
the next 1-2 hours, a small temporal window for a storm or two to
briefly reach severe levels remains apparent.

...Central high Plains vicinity...
Warm advection associated with a strong nocturnal low-level jet
forecast to develop this evening/overnight should eventually
contribute to elevated convective initiation.  A few storms may
become capable of producing marginally severe hail -- warranting
continuation of MRGL risk/5% hail area this forecast.

..Goss.. 04/01/2017

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from SPC Forecast Products http://ift.tt/rxAC6Z

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