Wednesday, April 5, 2017

SPC MD 443

MD 0443 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR COASTAL SC/NC
MD 0443 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 0443
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0102 PM CDT Wed Apr 05 2017

Areas affected...Coastal SC/NC

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 051802Z - 051900Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Tornado watch will likely be issued by 19z across portions
of coastal SC and NC.

DISCUSSION...Air mass is recovering across the coastal plain of SC
into coastal NC as temperatures rise through the 70s just inland
from the sea breeze.  There is increasing concern that upstream
supercell activity over CAE CWA will spread east into ILM CWA just
south of synoptic front draped from Darlington county to Pender
county.  It's not entirely clear how far inland the sea breeze will
advance but a narrow wedge of instability should prove receptive for
upstream activity to advance east with an attendant tornado,
hail/wind threat.

..Darrow/Hart.. 04/05/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON   34528032 34617890 34247862 33977890 33378014 34528032 

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