Monday, June 19, 2017

SPC Jun 20, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017

Valid 200100Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM DELAWARE
SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING THE
SLGT RISK AREA...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong to severe thunderstorms may linger over the next couple
of hours from parts of the Delmarva Peninsula southwest into central
North Carolina.

...Discussion...
Thunderstorms continue to gradually decrease in intensity and/or
move offshore from New England southwest to the mid-Atlantic region
this evening.  Meanwhile, storms persist within a band from the
Carolinas west-southwest across the lower Mississippi Valley area. 
While an isolated/briefly severe storm could occur within this
entire area over the next couple of hours, the main severe risk
appears to linger from Delaware southwest into central North
Carolina.  Here, evening RAOBs depict a moist/unstable airmass,
which will support continuation of thunderstorms over the next
several hours.  While continued/modest low-level cooling will
contribute to a gradual decrease in storm intensity,
offsetting/ample shear suggests risk for locally damaging winds
and/or hail continuing for another roughly 2-3 hours.

..Goss.. 06/20/2017

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