Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0803 PM CDT Fri May 31 2019 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will persist for another few hours parts of the Carolinas and southern Virginia, producing damaging winds and hail. Isolated severe storms are also expected across far West Texas and southeast New Mexico well into this evening. An isolated severe storm is still possible over lower Michigan, and westward into the eastern South Dakota vicinity. ...Far West Texas/southeast New Mexico... Strong/isolated severe storms continue over portions of far west Texas and vicinity, where a moderately unstable/moderately sheared environment persists. Large hail remains the primary severe risk, which may persist through the evening as a southeasterly low-level jet develops across the area. Some upscale growth -- and thus a modest increase in damaging wind risk -- will be possible, before overall threat decreases overnight. ...Southeast Virginia southward across the eastern Carolinas... A large cluster of strong/locally severe storms is ongoing across southeast Virginia and the eastern Carolinas, ahead of an east-southeastward-moving upper circulation now centered in the vicinity of West Virginia/western Virginia. Gradual stabilization of the airmass -- due to both diurnal and convective effects -- in conjunction with storms eventually moving offshore, will limit severe threat temporally to the next few hours. ...Mid Missouri vicinity eastward to the southern Upper Great Lakes... Severe risk will continue to gradually diminish across the area this evening, with the loss of diurnal heating. However, in the short term, a locally damaging wind gust or two will remain possible over the next hour or two over parts of lower Michigan, and westward to eastern South Dakota near the upper center of circulation. ..Goss.. 06/01/2019Read more
from SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html
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