SPC MD 1056

MD 1056 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WEST TEXAS...AND THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE

Mesoscale Discussion 1056
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0701 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2019

Areas affected...Portions of eastern New Mexico...west Texas...and
the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353...

Valid 140001Z - 140100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe weather threat continues for the next several hours
across Severe Thunderstorm Watch #353. In addition, the area
downstream of WW #353 across portions of the Texas Panhandle is
being monitored for a possible Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...Radar/satellite/lightning data continue to indicate
periodic strengthening of convection across WW #353. The environment
across the area is characterized by 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE and
40-50 knots of effective bulk shear, which will continue to support
at least isolated instances of large hail into the evening. Latest
trends suggest some strengthening of convection across portions of
northeastern New Mexico, and the OK/Texas Panhandles -- including a
thunderstorm which recently intensified near the New Mexico/Oklahoma
state line. If this activity can congeal into a larger complex, as
some high-resolution guidance suggests, then a Severe Thunderstorm
Watch may be needed over portions of the Texas Panhandle this
evening for the potential of damaging wind gusts.

..Elliott.. 06/14/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON   36990447 37130293 36510201 35930127 35030135 34320225
            33730301 31870314 31310319 31110368 31180435 31360478
            32710498 34160508 35970495 36990447 

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