Monday, June 3, 2019

SPC MD 969

MD 0969 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.
MD 0969 Image
Mesoscale Discussion 0969
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0718 PM CDT Mon Jun 03 2019

Areas affected...Northwest Kansas and far southwest Nebraska.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 040018Z - 040145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A cluster of storms moving out of eastern Colorado may be
capable of isolated severe weather through the evening. No watch is
expected downstream of watch 321.

DISCUSSION...Storms in eastern Colorado have been only occasionally
severe and have been mostly outflow dominant due to the relatively
weak effective shear (estimated around 20-25 knots using an average
of DDC and LBF 00Z RAOB). Expect storm intensity to remain mostly
sub-severe given the mostly unorganized storm mode, but occasional
stronger storms cannot be ruled out given the steep mid-level lapse
rates and the unstable airmass ahead of these storms. Given the
marginal threat, a downstream watch is not anticipated.

..Bentley/Grams.. 06/04/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...

LAT...LON   40380215 40510185 40350038 39540020 39030022 38510054
            38360100 38240152 38260206 38370207 39650214 40380215 

Read more

from SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0969.html

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