SPC MD 16

MD 0016 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0016
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0703 PM CST SAT JAN 09 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 100103Z - 100700Z

SUMMARY...SNOWFALL MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIME TONIGHT...WITH RATES
NEARING 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. THE MOST LIKELY TIMING OF HEAVIER
SNOWFALL WILL BE AROUND 03Z-09Z.

DISCUSSION...SNOWFALL HAS SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE...RAIN
WAS STILL OCCURRING WITH WET-BULB ZERO TEMPS AROUND 34-36 DEGREES.
HERE...IT MAY TAKE A WHILE FOR RAIN TO TRANSITION TO SNOW...BUT
SHOULD DO SO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS COLD ARCTIC AIR PUSHES
SOUTHWARD. AS 850-700MB FRONTOGENESIS INCREASES OVERNIGHT...SNOWFALL
INTENSITY SHOULD LIKEWISE INCREASE...AND RATES NEAR 1 INCH PER HOUR
WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW
LOOKS TO BE IN THE 04Z-10Z TIME FRAME.

..LEITMAN.. 01/10/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

LAT...LON   44778323 44448323 44208341 43778392 43238474 42928531
            42808560 42748587 42768608 42848632 43048642 43448655
            43668658 44058657 44678624 45038519 45258394 45278348
            45178333 44948322 44778323 

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