DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0343 AM CDT SUN JUN 05 2016 VALID 051200Z - 061200Z ...SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN TODAY AND BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN THE UPPER RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT ACROSS THE WEST. ELSEWHERE...A DEEP UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE EAST...WHILE A WEAKENING UPPER LOW/TROUGH CONTINUES TO DRIFT OVER PORTIONS OF TEXAS. ...PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN... IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER TROUGH...SOME INCREASE IN LOW-MIDLEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CA INTO WESTERN AZ AND THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO THE 15-20 MPH RANGE ACROSS A BROAD AREA FROM SRN/ERN CA INTO SRN/CNTRL NV...WRN/CNTRL AZ...AND SWRN UT. WITH VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE...THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE PROBABILITY OF CRITICAL WINDS GREATER THAN 20 MPH APPEARS TOO LOW FOR AN UPGRADE AT THIS TIME...BUT LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN GREAT BASIN AND VICINITY... THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF OREGON AND NORTHERN CA/NV AS MIDLEVEL MOISTURE/ASCENT INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER TROUGH. DRY/DEEP SUBCLOUD LAYERS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT A THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY/ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...THOUGH RAINFALL POTENTIAL WILL ALSO INCREASE SOMEWHAT AS PW VALUES RISE. WITH GENERALLY MARGINAL FUEL CONDITIONS IN PLACE...NO DELINEATION WILL BE MADE AT THIS TIME...BUT SOME POTENTIAL FOR FIRE IGNITION/SPREAD WILL EXIST WHERE RECEPTIVE FUELS ARE IN PLACE AND RAINFALL IS LIMITED. ..DEAN.. 06/05/2016 ...PLEASE SEE http://ift.tt/KCM4Ij FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...Read more
from SPC Forecast Products http://ift.tt/x5VKfK
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