SPC MD 817

MD 0817 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SERN LOWER MI

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0817
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0900 AM CDT SUN JUN 05 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 051400Z - 051600Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS MAY POSE A RISK FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THROUGH 1530Z OVER SE LOWER MI INCLUDING THE
DETROIT METRO AREA. WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS MORNING A LINE OF STORMS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
BOWING SEGMENTS IS MOVING AT 30-35 KT INTO SERN LOWER MI. THESE
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A ZONE OF DEEP ASCENT/DCVA
ACCOMPANYING A VORTICITY MAXIMUM ROTATING THROUGH BASE OF THE
SYNOPTIC TROUGH. A 40 KT WIND GUST WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT FLINT
MI. SOME DESTABILIZATION OF THE DOWNSTREAM BOUNDARY LAYER WILL OCCUR
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WHICH MAY FURTHER INCREASE THE
THREAT FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS BEFORE STORMS MOVE EAST OF THE
STATE.

..DIAL/WEISS.. 06/05/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...

LAT...LON   43938275 42948245 42058308 41718382 42388345 43138335
            43578339 43938275 

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