Monday, January 23, 2017

SPC Jan 23, 2017 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1113 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are possible today across the Middle Atlantic
region, while isolated storms may also develop from California into
the Four Corners area.

...Mid Atlantic area...

Upper low centered over western GA will move northeast today,
reaching eastern NC this afternoon. Primary zone of deeper ascent
will move from NC into the Middle Atlantic. This area will reside
north of an occluded front and within divergent upper jet exit
region where colder temperatures aloft accompanying the upper low
circulation will promote weak instability and a few thunderstorms. 

...California through the Four Corners region...

A large area of steeper lapse rates associated with cold air aloft
accompanying a synoptic upper trough will spread inland through CA
and eastward into a portion of the Great Basin. This will contribute
to weak instability across the region. Several pockets of ascent
accompanying a series of vorticity maxima rotating through the upper
low circulation will contribute to the development of showers and a
few thunderstorms. Thunderstorm potential appears higher over CA and
especially near the coast where slightly greater instability will
exist.

..Dial.. 01/23/2017

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