Saturday, April 22, 2017

SPC Apr 23, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0737 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER
MS VALLEY TO NORTHWEST GA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong storms are possible this evening along a corridor
from southern Louisiana to northwest Georgia.  Gusty winds and hail
are the primary threats through mid evening.

...Discussion...

Large-scale mid-level height falls will spread across the central
Gulf States tonight as strong 500mb speed max translates across OK
into the lower MS Valley by sunrise Sunday.  High-level diffluent
flow should enhance upper venting for continued convection along the
cold front as it advances across the remainder of LA/MS into
southern AL/northwest GA late tonight.  However, 00z soundings
across the central Gulf States exhibit only modest instability/shear
such that robust convection capable of producing gusty winds and
some hail may be noted...especially this evening south of I-20. 
Elsewhere along the front, draped across the southern Appalachians
into NC,  boundary-layer cooling and weak forcing will limit
convection/severe threat along this portion of the wind shift.

..Darrow.. 04/23/2017

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from SPC Forecast Products http://ift.tt/rxAC6Z

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