Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ...DISCUSSION... Models remain generally consistent with eastward progression of an upper trough through the southern Plains and lower MS Valley day 4 and into the OH Valley and Great Lakes day 5. Sunday (Day 4) - As the upper trough and its associated cold front progress eastward, the severe-storm threat will spread into the TN Valley and southeast states where favorable vertical shear will coexist with a moderately unstable warm sector downstream from an ongoing MCS. Monday (Day 5) - Some severe threat will persist from a portion of the OH Valley into the east and Southeast States as the cyclone occludes over the Great Lakes, but trailing front continues toward the Atlantic seaboard. While the warm sector in much of this region will remain under the influence of strong vertical shear, it remains uncertain whether instability will be sufficient for a more robust severe event.Read more
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