Tuesday, June 6, 2017

SPC Jun 7, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Tue Jun 06 2017

Valid 070100Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTH
FLORIDA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms will remain possible this evening into
tonight across portions of the southern High Plains as well as South
Florida.

...Southern High Plains...
Weak upslope flow beneath moderate northwesterlies in the mid- to
high-levels amidst a well-mixed/steep lapse rate environment this
evening will contribute to an isolated severe thunderstorms across
the southern High Plains.  As the boundary layer cools this evening,
a gradual diminishing in storm intensity and severe risk is
anticipated.

...South Florida...
A mid-level vorticity maximum over the mouth of the MS River this
evening will gradually move east into the FL Panhandle.  Water-vapor
imagery Tuesday evening shows a dry intrusion across the eastern
Gulf to the north of an effective frontal zone over the southeastern
Gulf through South FL.  A moisture rich/maritime airmass may yield a
couple of stronger storms and a low risk for a damaging gust or
perhaps weak/brief tornado as the convective line over South FL
gradually pushes into the FL Straits.  To the north of the boundary,
the 00Z raobs sampled weak lapse rates and weak buoyancy owing in
part to the shallow depth of rich moisture---likely precluding
strong/severe storm development later tonight.

..Smith.. 06/07/2017

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from SPC Forecast Products http://ift.tt/rxAC6Z

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