Saturday, July 1, 2017

SPC MD 1205

MD 1205 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 386... FOR NORTHWEST TX...OK...NORTHWEST AR
MD 1205 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1205
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1024 PM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

Areas affected...Northwest TX...OK...Northwest AR

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 386...

Valid 010324Z - 010430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 386
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will persist across the southern
Plains into the early morning hours; however, only isolated severe
is expected with this activity.

DISCUSSION...Low-level warm advection is focused across the TX South
Plains this evening as LLJ is gradually strengthening across this
region. This appears to be partly responsible for renewed convective
development in the vicinity of Stonewall County TX. Additional
convection is beginning to strengthen across the southeast TX
Panhandle along an ill-defined outflow-reinforced synoptic front.
Hail may be noted with this activity across the high plains due to
steeper lapse rate environment along the southern fringe of stronger
northwestely mid-level flow. Considerable convective overturning
across OK has stabilized much of the state and severe threat appears
to be waning. Although isolated damaging wind gust or hail may be
noted with convection near the Red River, new WW is not expected at
this time.

..Darrow.. 07/01/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   35230010 36269435 34539435 33490008 35230010 

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