Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2020 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NM AND WEST TX... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms capable of producing strong to severe wind gusts and some hail will continue across parts of southern/eastern New Mexico and west Texas this evening. ...01Z Update... Storms that formed earlier today over the higher terrain of central NM have transitioned from supercells into loosely organized clusters over the past few hours. As this convection continues southeastward across southern/eastern NM into west TX this evening, it may continue to pose an isolated threat for strong to severe winds owing to a well-mixed boundary layer (see 00Z MAF sounding). Some hail may also occur in the short term. A gradual weakening trend with this activity should occur later this evening across west TX as convective inhibition strengthens with the loss of daytime heating. However, there is still some uncertainty in how quickly this weakening trend will occur. A well-defined MCV and mid-level vorticity maximum is evident this evening over east TX on both visible satellite and radar imagery. Mid-level lapse rates of 7.5 C/km along with modestly enhanced mid-level northwesterly winds were observed on the 00Z CRP sounding. An isolated threat for damaging winds and marginally severe hail may continue this evening and tonight across parts of east/south TX and perhaps LA along/south of a weak front in association with the MCV. Farther east, mainly strong/gusty winds capable of producing occasional damage may continue for another hour or two with ongoing clusters of storms across parts of MS/AL and vicinity before weakening. ..Gleason.. 06/24/2020Read more
from SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html
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