Monday, July 13, 2020

SPC Jul 14, 2020 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0736 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

Valid 140100Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND MINNESOTA...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are expected from the central High Plains into
parts of the Upper Midwest tonight.  Severe gusts, possibly
significant, large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the threats
with the stronger storms.

...01z Update...

Large-scale 12hr mid-level height falls will spread across the
northern Plains/Upper MS Valley tonight ahead of a pronounced upper
trough. Early-evening vis satellite imagery suggests frontal cu
field is deepening across western MN. With time scattered
thunderstorms should develop south along this boundary before
spreading east tonight. Large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a
few tornadoes remain possible.

Farther south, deep convection is expanding across the central High
Plains as it spreads east into a corridor of high instability
characterized by 3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE. Stronger updrafts will
generate large hail, possibly in excess of 2 inches across western
KS and southwest NE. Otherwise, damaging winds should become more
common once a squall line emerges downstream.

..Darrow.. 07/14/2020

Read more

from SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html

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