Wednesday, July 15, 2020

SPC MD 1229

MD 1229 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 371... FOR WESTERN/CENTRAL KS...NORTHWEST OK
MD 1229 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1229
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2020

Areas affected...Western/Central KS...Northwest OK

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 371...

Valid 150421Z - 150615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 371
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated hail/wind threat continue across western/central
KS and northwest OK.

DISCUSSION...An expanding corridor of convection is currently noted
across southwestern KS/northwestern OK within a zone of focused
low-level warm advection. Surface boundary that is draped across
central KS into the TX Panhandle is not expected to move appreciably
over the next several hours, and a LLJ over western OK is impinging
on this boundary over south-central KS. This appears partly
responsible for the recent increase in thunderstorm activity over
the last hour. Long-lived supercell cluster that formed over CO has
evolved into a LEWP over southwest KS. These storms are expected to
propagate east, along the cool side of the boundary. Hail/wind
remain possible with this activity.

If the ongoing activity over southwestern KS continues to grow
upscale, there may be a need to consider a new watch downstream.

..Darrow.. 07/15/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON   37850119 38509785 37419756 36620103 37850119 

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from SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1229.html

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