SPC MD 2071

MD 2071 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 569... FOR NORTH-CENTRAL OK TO EASTERN OK/FAR WESTERN AR

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2071
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH-CENTRAL OK TO EASTERN OK/FAR WESTERN AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 569...

VALID 270132Z - 270300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 569 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE MAINLY THROUGH
MID-EVENING ACROSS NORTH TX. TORNADO WATCH 569 IS CURRENTLY
SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE...BUT A TEMPORAL WATCH EXTENSION /LIKELY FOR
2-HR/ WILL BE NEEDED.

DISCUSSION...SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH A TORNADO HISTORY
CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE DFW METRO AREA AS OF 715 PM
CST. THESE STORMS ARE OCCURRING JUST AHEAD OF A SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING
COLD FRONT. A SLIGHTLY COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER AND THE EVENTUAL
UNDERCUTTING NATURE OF THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO YIELD A
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TORNADO RISK THROUGH MID/LATE EVENING...WITH
STRONGER CONVECTION OTHERWISE RELEGATED TO NEAR THE FRONT. EVEN
SO...GIVEN THAT SOME TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NORTH TX...A TEMPORAL WATCH EXTENSION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
PARTS OF NORTH TX/FAR SOUTHEAST OK AND POSSIBLY OTHER PARTS OF
EASTERN OK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE RISK.

..GUYER.. 12/27/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   31839858 33409715 35029607 35639536 35689388 34489434
            31959562 31149690 31219783 31839858 

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