Mesoscale Discussion 1226 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0622 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2020 Areas affected...Eastern CO to the northern TX Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 369... Valid 142322Z - 150115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 369 continues. SUMMARY...Convection should increase across southeast CO into southwest KS over the next few hours. New watch is possible downstream later this evening. DISCUSSION...Scattered convection continues to gradually organize just east of the higher terrain, especially from El Paso County to Pueblo County CO. Visible satellite imagery supports this with expanding anvils and fresh updrafts. Over the next few hours this activity should migrate across southeastern CO, within an upslope flow regime, where more moist/buoyant air mass currently resides (MLCAPE 3000-4000 J/kg). Additionally, this region has significantly steeper lapse rates which should support more robust updrafts. With time, multiple thunderstorm clusters should emerge with a potentially larger complex expected to propagate across southwestern KS after sunset. ..Darrow.. 07/14/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ... LAT...LON 36030201 37460478 39900478 38470199 36030201Read more
from SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1226.html
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