Monday, August 3, 2020

SPC Aug 3, 2020 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Outlook Image
Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0230 AM CDT Mon Aug 03 2020

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong storms capable of gusty winds and hail are possible
Wednesday afternoon and evening over portions of the central High
Plains.

...Central High Plains...

Conditions on Wednesday will be similar to those on Tuesday.
However, forecast guidance does indicate some stronger capping may
be in place. Otherwise, northwesterly mid/upper level flow will
persist as an upper trough shifts eastward over the Rockies and
adjacent High Plains. Thunderstorms are expected to develop in moist
upslope flow during the afternoon and shift east/southeast across
eastern CO into portions of western NE and perhaps western KS.
Forecast soundings indicate shear profiles capable of supporting
organized, rotating updrafts amid weak to moderate instability and
steep midlevel lapse rates. This should once again result in a few
strong to perhaps severe storms capable of gusty winds and hail
during the late afternoon and evening. Convection should again
weaken during the late evening/overnight hours.

...Northern New England...

The remains of Isaias are forecast to be located over
central/northern ME Wednesday morning. Forecast soundings suggest
little in the way of tornado potential at this time. The system
should lift quickly northeast during the first few hours of the
period toward the Canadian Maritimes. Trends will be monitored, but
severe potential appears low at this time.

..Leitman.. 08/03/2020

Read more

from SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_0730.html

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